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Could "Population Drain" Decrease COVID Cases in Bangkok?

Transcript of the above video:

As the title of this video suggests, we are discussing the case situation for COVID here in Bangkok. Somebody asked me a question the other day and I thought it was actually rather relevant. I know I have talked on and on about what I think is going on with respect to the overall situation here in the city, they asked me they said well "Do you think people leaving Bangkok," and it is noticeable here in Bangkok right now that there are far fewer people than are here normally. For those that know the demography of Thailand there are a number of people who work in Bangkok sometimes seasonally, sometimes all year round but they are not from Bangkok. They are from up country generally or down south but people are drawn to Bangkok; it is an economic centre and it draws a lot of Thais in.

Well when nothing is really going on especially the tourism industry, it is very eerie to walk around downtown Bangkok especially in the evenings. I never really realized how many hotels there were. It was just part of the background and walking around now, it is "Wow, okay," as we would say back in Kansas, "you can't swing a dead cat without hitting a hotel in Bangkok." They are just everywhere and they employed a lot of people and those people aren't really needed right now and so they sort of "drained out" of the city over time. We have seen this happen over 18 months. Here recently as things have become a little bit more crazy with respect to people being upset about this overall situation, I think some folks that maybe were just subsisting in the city might have said "yeah, I am just going to go back home and stay there for a bit and see how this whole thing plays out". 

What is the upshot of that? Well there is an argument to be made that maybe yeah I think case numbers in Bangkok will decrease. I don't know what that means for the overall country but I thought it was a good question somebody brought up that yeah “as people leave shouldn't that actually draw down the numbers?” It is an interesting point and it will certainly be interesting to see. We will certainly keep folks updated as the situation progresses.