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Thailand and the Tempest of Foes and Loving Friends?

Transcript of the above video: 

So we are going to go ahead and do this video and I'm making this going into this coming week here on Sunday. We're in a very interesting place to sort of paraphrase the Chinese saying, "May you live in interesting times", which is sort of apparently like a backhanded compliment, semi-curse type of thing, and nobody wants to be here. This is the big thing. Nobody I think in Cambodia, in Thailand, anywhere around here, wants this to be going on. I think that is pretty clear; at least anybody on the ground. God knows there may be some puppeteers far away somewhere, that may want this; I don't even think that is necessarily the case. I've been watching this rather closely. I mean this is just kind of, it's just been one thing, building on another, building on another. It's just had sort of its own momentum, good, bad indifferent - that's what it's been. 

The reason for the title to this video, there's a line in Kipling, Rudyard Kipling's poem IF, which I love that poem. I put a link in the description below. There's a version of it where Michael Caine recites it and I really like the way he did it, but there's a great line in there where it's, "If neither foes nor loving friends can hurt you". And Thailand, I think that's where we're at right now. We're in this Tempest in a way of "foes and loving friends". And let me be clear, I think our loving friends do love us, but I think they may not understand what we are going through here in Thailand and Thailand's position, and so it brings to mind that line from Kipling's poem. So getting into this, I thought of making this video after reading a recent article from the Bangkok Post, bangkokpost.com, the article is titled: Anutin defiant as Border War grows. "Thailand will continue to defend its sovereignty if Cambodia fails to halt hostilities, says Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul. He was speaking after clashes along the Thai-Cambodian Border continued despite claims of a ceasefire by US President Donald Trump." 

Yeah, I want to get into that; I'm going to get into some analysis on that. I'm going to look at that from the standpoint of the American side of this, not just sort of with my Thai hat on, because this whole notion of a new ceasefire or something, is apropos of what? I mean let me just keep going here. Quoting further: "Mr. Anutin rejected Mr. Trump's assertion that both sides had agreed to stop fighting following his calls to the leaders of Thailand and Cambodia, insisting no such agreement had been reached." Quoting further: quote: "There was no discussion about a ceasefire", Mr. Anutin said, referring to his call with Mr. Trump on Friday night. "It was simply an exchange of updates. Thailand must do its duty to defend its sovereignty and protect its citizens. The Prime Minister was speaking while attending the Royal cremation ceremony of Sgt. Maj. 1st Class Satawat Sujarit in Roi Et Province. The soldier was killed during recent clashes between Thai and Cambodian forces. Border fighting continued on Saturday with Thai Authorities reporting fresh attacks by Cambodian forces in Ubon Ratchathani where four soldiers were killed" - and people are talking about a ceasefire - Quoting further: "and Si Saket where six civilians were injured. Mr. Anutin questioned the credibility of ceasefire claims in light of developments on the ground." Well that was a very diplomatic way of saying, "what the hell are you talking about, ceasefire?" Quoting further: quote: "Is there a ceasefire?" he asked. “This morning Cambodia launched heavy attacks. BM-21 rockets landed in civilian areas, causing severe injuries and loss of limbs. At this point, should Thailand be listening to anyone else?" Mr. Prime Minister, you have got a good point at this point. Well taken. Quoting further: "He added that focusing on external statements would only distract Thailand from its responsibility to protect lives and territory."

So let's put some context on that, quoting further: "Mr. Trump had earlier written on his Truth Social Platform that he had held constructive talks with Mr. Anutin and Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Manet, claiming both sides had agreed to "cease all shooting", and return to the original peace accord, with support from Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim." 

Now I'm going to, from where I'm standing, it looks to me like Trump is trying to kind of accentuate the positive here. He gets on the phone, I'm sure there are platitudes exchanged regarding, "hey we all want peace and mutual security for all the nations and Kumbaya and whatever", and I think he may be kind of again accentuating that and kind of bringing that sort of message to the foreground when according to Mr. Anutin, his conversation was basically, "look here's the status update: we're doing this". Quoting further: "Mr. Anutin reiterated his stance on Facebook in English saying, quote: "Thailand will continue to perform military actions until we feel no more harm and threats to our land and people." Yeah, when you have ordnance flying in at civilians, yeah, that's the reasonable response. Quoting further: "Meanwhile Mr. Anwar said he had spoken separately with Mr. Anutin and Hun Manet following discussions with Mr. Trump. Mr. Anwar said he proposed a cease fire to take effect at 10pm. last night, monitored by an ASEAN observer team. Hun Manet later posted that Cambodia had accepted Mr. Anwar's proposal." I am mentioning that because this was all just some - if this was a Court Proceeding, I would liken that if you will to ex parte communications. So Cambodia and Mr. Anwar down in Malaysia, they got on the horn and said, "hey we need peace and yeah we agreed to a ceasefire," while they firing presumably, because this is all happening simultaneously while all this action is going on on the ground along the Thai Khmer border but they basically talked to each other and said, "yeah we're in agreement, what's wrong with you, Thailand?" I'm really not liking the way that this narrative is being sort of, or the attempt to spin up a narrative here that Thailand is somehow in the wrong, okay? As our Prime Minister has pointed out, ordinance is coming at us. It is what it is. Nobody likes this; no Thais want to be in this situation, but here we are. Thailand has to defend herself. She has to defend her sovereignty. I don't see where anything about this is unreasonable at this point. Really. I mean here's another one that I've noticed has just kind of disappeared from the Western mainstream narrative. That mine that they found up there. The ASEAN observer team themselves said, "hey that was clearly set after the signing of the last ceasefire", and does anybody forget prior to that ceasefire, we had a ceasefire where they didn't actually cease any firing in the overnight? I think it was Boonsen or somebody, one of the spokespeople for what was going on up there, came on at like 7.40 am. in the morning, earlier than that. It was like 6am. in the morning. I remember it; we covered it. I think it was in Thai PBS World because we made it for the update that morning back in the summer where the guy is basically sitting there saying, "hey I know they signed all this stuff, but there was still firing going on the night of the ceasefire."

So, really at this point, it's really getting to the point of sort of gas lighting Thailand that, "oh well we are under a ceasefire. What are you talking about?" Meanwhile ordnance is raining down on our civilians, our soldiers are being killed, what are you talking about, ceasefire? Can we talk about this like rational adults? Does this all have to be in some kind of illusion? James Angleton's Wilderness of Mirrors, where we can get no truth and we can - it's just nonsense at this point, this whole, we're now on what iteration of this “ceasefire stuff” are we at? And to be clear, I want peace. I want there to be a ceasefire, but when everybody goes around talking about a ceasefire while there is ordnance dropping, it's just pure cognitive dissonance and nonsense. And you have to ask why is that going on? Is it because somebody out there wants to prolong this, and it's a technique in furtherance of that end? That is a good question. That is a technique out there that can be utilized. 

So the point I'm trying to make with this video though is I tend to see exactly where Mr. Anutin is coming from at this point. Okay, everybody can say whatever is happening. I think it's more a product of people talking about something that is happening where they are not physically present. They just don't know what's going on on the ground; I think it's more a by-product of that than anything. I don't think there's any ill intent from the Americans. For example, in Mr. Trump making these comments, I think he's trying to do this in good faith. I think he's trying to promote peace, but in order to get peace, we're going to have to have truth about what's actually happening, so that people can have a sit down about ending it. And it's my personal opinion at this point, it is probably going to get ended by the folks that are actually up there at that border, than all of these meetings and things in other places. It kind of reminds me of how the Battle of New Orleans actually happened after the Treaty ending the War of 1812 had already been signed. But the Battle of New Orleans was the important thing, because the Americans kept the mouth of the Mississippi River and the British were not able to take the Mississippi and thereby have a real foothold in North America to the detriment of the United States in that particular situation. The fact that the Battle happened after the Treaty had been signed was sort of irrelevant and in fact, I think it was Talleyrand who once said, "you can't take in diplomatic negotiations, what you can't take on the field." And that was sort of what was being said there. My point being, this attenuation, this disconnect, between the narrative on what's going on on the border, versus what's really going on on the border may actually be at this point, causing things to get worse rather than really looking what's actually happening up there so we can actually deal with it. Instead, it's just all of this talk of peace and ceasefire at the same time that missiles are raining down on civilians here in the Kingdom of Thailand.