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Thai Banking News: "Reporting of Resident Cash Inflows"?
Transcript of the above video:
Yeah, another great piece of news in the banking sector here in Thailand. Let's just jump in. I thought of making this video after reading a recent article from the Bangkok Post, bangkokpost.com, the article is titled: Thailand tightens reporting of resident cash inflows. Quoting directly: "Thailand is taking a closer look at capital inflows by residents as part of the Central Bank's effort to manage Baht movements." So “taking a closer look at Capital inflows by residents”. I have got to be honest with you; this is just yet another sort of data point in my quiver if you will of arrows against all of this foreign banking influence because it is leading to inverted thinking about currency and trade policy. A perfect example of this is Thailand's currency is getting stronger right now because it has a vibrant economy. It has not hollowed out its industrial manufacturing base. If anything is built it up over the last five decades or so as opposed to since the end effectively of Bretton Woods and Nixon's closing the gold window where the West has effectively hollowed theirs out and off shored everything - not everything but the large segments of their economies - yeah you're going to end up with trade imbalances when Party A doesn't make anything anymore and Party B makes everything and exports it to Party A. That's how that's going to play out. And the point I'm trying to make with this here is this is another example of essentially foreign undue influence, especially in the form of notions coming from the World Economic Forum and the OECD and this other nonsense supranationalistic, "we've all got to offset each other's tax and invasion into the Sovereign prerogatives of these given jurisdictions". Again, it's bad policy because again Thailand should want inflows of foreign capital but it's because of this cockamamie banking system that quite honestly is coming apart at the seams at the moment, in fact there's good analog for that in a book - we will put it up on screen - called The Oligarchs: Wealth and Power in the New Russia, which it's not so new now, it's like a 30-year-old book at this point. I remember reading it. I went to Russia in 1999. My late uncle worked for NASA, and I had the opportunity to go to Moscow and actually see Star City which was really cool and I also got to go up the St. Petersburg and see all of that. So I actually watched the aftermath of what's in that book The Oligarchs play out and I see a lot of parallels right now. Basically one of the big things that happened that really led to the unraveling of the USSR was the attenuation of paper money, so what were called paper rubles versus ledger rubles, and we're seeing the same issue in the US dollar. It is attenuating, it's splitting apart and that is why we are seeing these ridiculous things coming from tech companies where “so and so is going to buy such and such for 500 billion dollars” and things like this. And then meanwhile, you hear about average Americans making $62,000 a year that can't afford much of anything; they can barely afford to feed themselves and pay their rent. It's not only inflation, it's this attenuation of money. It comes from the cotillion effect where the first person nearest money printing benefits most, because they can go out and get hard assets and services with that money before people realize it has been inflated out of much of its value. A lot of things have led to this, but long story short, one of the big things for Thailand as an upshot in this, is again having to do all of these things that really are not particularly in the national interest in order to continue to maintain some kind of trade alignment with various actors in the West who are all having problems now more and more with their currency, as is logical because again they have hollowed out their industrial and manufacturing sectors over many decades, and again Europe has just - the US is better off than many of the other Western jurisdictions. But that being said I mean it's shades of grey, let's put it like that.
But the point I'm trying to make here is, should Thailand have to do things that aren't necessarily to her benefit, because of this? And again heavily scrutinizing inbound capital transfers? Is that a good thing for the economy really? Do we want to slow it down? It's like the same thing I said with all of this biometrics associated with banking and capping out all the transfer amounts that you can make with your digital bank account. It is seizing up liquidity, it's destroying the velocity of money, which the upshot of that is the economy is seizing up; it's not doing very well. Frankly yet again, it looks to me like the Thai economy is being carried by the Thais in the “informal” or “grey” or “black” - depending on whatever banking rag you read that wants to tell you all about how a country that doesn't have high GDP - a metric that is entirely based on Bank credit - "oh you don't have high GDP therefore you are falling behind Thailand." Well a big old chunk of their GDP ain't even on the books. So one, it's a bad metric and two, it's all just designed to bring basically Thailand or any other country in line with this supranationalist undue influence that's doing no one at the street level in any of these countries any good. Again what good comes from Thailand not being able to free and easily accept - as I'll get to - accept over $200,000 in capital per transfer? How does that help the country particularly? And I do understand the history of hot money and things. I'm not talking about outbound. That might be a different set of analysis, but why would we want to heavenly scrutinize people who want to bring money here? Maybe millions upon millions of dollars, but 200,000! We're not talking about Pablo Escobar here.
Quoting further: "Thai Banks must now report Capital inflows exceeding $200,000 by residents." Okay. What does that mean? Permanent residents? People here over 180 days so they are tax resident? And then how do they assess if they are here over 180 days? Are these Banks now linked up with the immigration apparatus? As I get into another video I made contemporaneously with this one, guess what? They are not. So that then calls into question, what is a resident? Do you just mean anybody that's here? Me personally, I would like to see foreigners dumping in more than $200,000 at a go here in Thailand; that would be good for the country. That said, quoting further: "Bank of Thailand Governor Vitai Ratanakorn said on Friday. "This is the first time we are checking the purposes and documentation of such inflows", he said. Have you ever heard of Chesterton's fence? A guy named Chris Martinson with Pete Prosperity talks about this a lot. It's like a thought experiment. You are walking down a road, and you see a fence that sort of bisects the road. It goes across the road. You come up to the fence, and you say, "well we need to remove this fence." Probably not, and the reason is - this is the Chesterton fence's sort of analogical moral of the story if you will, or moral of the fable - you don't know why that fence is there. This makes me very uneasy when I hear the Head of the Bank of Thailand, who by the way, came in after a great deal of frankly controversy about who should be in charge of what over there, but when he says this is the first time we are checking the purposes and documentation of such inflows, it begs the question, is it a good idea then? None of your predecessors did this. Why are you doing it now? And why on inbound money? Once it's here, okay I don't know, I can kind of see some of that, but we're trying to ward off foreign money? Now I can understand that maybe at high policy levels they are sitting there looking at the relative value especially moving forward of various foreign currencies, and they're saying to themselves, "hey do we just want a bunch of paper Fiat in exchange for our real goods and services? I can understand that logic. But when foreign capital is inbound, again to levels like this. If you said it was 2 million dollars I might have just probably overlooked this article and moved along. But 200,000? That's just such a low threshold that it begs the question, I mean what are you doing? Are we trying to stifle economic activity over here? Is that the affirmative desire? Quoting further: "The new rule is scheduled to take effect on Monday." Bear in mind that this article is from December 26, 2025. Quoting further: "Mr. Vitai said the new measures would enable the Central Bank to manage Baht movements more effectively, as the currency has strengthened faster and more sharply against the US Dollar than its regional peers in recent months."
And this is what I am talking about. This system radically changing, that's what's going on. And believe me, I am not a doom and gloomer, I'm not Chicken Little. The dollar is going to be there. It's going to be a reserve currency. It's going to be a trade currency. Of that I have no doubt. But the world is changing and in the aftermath of the seizure of the Russians treasuries back in 2022, we've seen this happening in earnest since that time, and I don't think anything is going to much change with respect to the momentum behind that. But that said, I seriously question whether or not this is the best thing for Thailand in certain ways. Again it's nuanced, but just the overall paradigm that has had to be maintained over the past 20 years and I would say in earnest since 2008, when we saw so-called QE which basically amounted to money printing, these countries outside of America have had to, especially allies and trading partners have had to twist themselves in knots and bend over backwards in order to be in line with whatever it is the US is doing. In some cases, I'm not sure that that's in line with those various nation's national interests. And frankly, looking at it from an American citizen's standpoint, I really have problems where we have a Central Bank to begin with and we are watching all of our national wealth be basically rung out of us as the citizenry. But setting that aside, again this cockamamie system that we are seeing going through what I can best describe as a major transition right now has led to all of this nonsensical kind of policy making and my hope is moving forward, we will see that abate.
